The odds of President Donald Trump revealing what he knows about alien life have suddenly skyrocketed, leading some to believe full public disclosure could be days away.
A wagering pool on Polymarket called “Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?” has mysteriously exploded with activity, rising to over $7 million in bets, shifting the odds from 6% “Yes” on December 6 to a staggering 98% by Tuesday morning.
Polymarket is a cryptocurrency-based prediction platform where people bet on the outcomes of real-world events, such as elections, sports, or even UFO sightings, turning speculation into a crowd-sourced probability meter.
The Betting Surge
In this UFO market, the odds flipped dramatically because of a sudden surge in betting volume, likely fueled by rumors, insider tips, and viral buzz, causing the share prices to rocket as more people piled in on the “Yes” side.
UFO researcher and filmmaker Mark Christopher Lee told the Daily Mail he is convinced the recent trading in favor of Trump releasing UFO files has been sparked by someone with access to the White House. “I think someone on the inside close to Trump knows this and has been buying, hence the rise,” Lee explained.
To this point, previous White Houses, the US military, and even NASA have all denied that humans have ever encountered UFOs, recovered crashed spaceships, or made contact with alien life.
While Trump has remained skeptical about the existence of UFOs as well, he has repeatedly promised to release whatever his administration discovered to the public, telling the Lex Fridman Podcast in 2024: “I’d love to do that. I have to do that.”
The Stakes
Polymarket has declared that for the “Yes” bets to be correct, the Trump Administration must officially declassify “any previously classified files about extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena” by the end of 2025.
On Sunday, a string of aggressive purchases by a small group of traders triggered a surge of confidence that an announcement on UFO was coming. Some Polymarket users betting on Trump’s promise to disclose the information have bought over $20,000 worth of “Yes” shares in a single trade this week.
The mysterious event that sent the Polymarket pool soaring after December 6 has yet to be identified. Since Monday at 6pm ET, more than $5 million has been poured into the UFO wagering pool, sending the total wagered to over $7.3 million.
Broader Declassification Pressure
The speculation has come as the Trump Administration faces pressure to fulfill its broader promises to declassify and release government records across a range of sensitive areas, including the Epstein files.
A new federal law means the Department of Justice must publish all unclassified Epstein-related materials by December 19, which one Polymarket wagering pool says only has a 62% chance of happening.
As for UFO disclosure, prominent podcast host Joe Rogan recently said that whistleblowers who speak out about extraterrestrials must receive amnesty and protection from the federal government.
The Odds Throughout 2025
Throughout 2025, the odds had been heavily stacked against Trump disclosing any UFO files, even after the November release of a documentary called “The Age of Disclosure.”
The film, which interviewed high-ranking government officials, detailed the alleged 80-year global cover-up of alien life and the technology humans have created using pieces of crashed UFOs.
In fact, the odds on Polymarket of Trump revealing what the US knows about aliens actually dropped after the film’s release, reaching their lowest levels since April, when there was only a 1% chance of Americans seeing the files.
The Whistleblower Claims
Lee, who just released his own documentary called “The Rendlesham UFO: The British Roswell,” which interviewed anonymous military sources about alien contact, told the Daily Mail there is a global feeling that a major announcement is coming.
“UFO researchers in the UK think that this is going to happen. Trump will be the disclosure president,” Lee said.
Lee added he agrees with whistleblower and retired US Air Force Major David Grusch, who recently claimed Trump could soon reveal that the US government has alien remains and has been visited by “UFOs on numerous occasions.”
Grusch, who spent 14 years in the Air Force and worked as an intelligence officer for the National Reconnaissance Office before representing NRO on the UAP Task Force from 2019-2021, testified before Congress in 2023 claiming secret government departments had been running UFO retrieval and reverse-engineering programs for decades. He was later hired in March 2025 as a senior adviser to Rep. Eric Burlison (R-Mo.) to advise on UAP issues.
Grusch said in November that Trump had been “fully briefed” on incidents involving crashed spacecraft, the existence of multiple alien races, the origins of these beings, and their intentions here on Earth.
Reports have claimed that Trump has intensified his personal inquiries since the 2024 election and is preparing to tell the public what he’s learned from his intelligence officials because he believes Americans “have a right to know.”







